Ah. Glad I caught you here. Ive got a question for you.
If its about borrowing any of my hard-earned wedge, the answer is no. And I dont see why youd ask me a question when all youre going to do is disagree with my answer.
Well, thats what LEO pays us the big bucks for. Anyway, youre a man of modest local knowledge and massive local opinion. I was wondering what the hell Louisville is going to do with all these new hotel rooms.
Considering theres only been one halfway-decent large hotel built in this city since Happy Chandler was governor, theyre about to start sprouting up like a plague of cicadas. However, the answer as to why they are being built is so straightforward a village idiot could work it out.
Which is why I asked one. But by my own back-of-the-fag packet calculations, we have, or are going to have, over 1,500 new hotel rooms. I might be wrong, but Im pretty sure theres nothing new happening here that might fill those rooms up. It seems like the hotel trade is banking on the Field of Dreams theory if you build it, they will come.
Might be wrong? Ill take that as a given. Look, it doesnt take a genius to understand that Louisvilles hotel scene is more in need of a facelift than Garrison Keillor. Its part of an ongoing process to put this city on the front foot. When the Convention Center is reincarnated and back in the market, well be able to compete with the likes of Atlanta, Nashville and Indianapolis for prestige events. Its not rocket science.
My concern, which obviously needs to be spelled out, is that the developers behind these projects dont have time to wait until the business comes to them. We already have YUM! sending its top executives to Dallas, and it looks likely that Humanas will head to Connecticut. And then we could end up stuck with a bunch of high-end hotels that cant find anyone to stay in them outside of Derby week. What then?
Its putting the horse before the cart, which is the correct way around. You cant attract commerce to a city without having enough pukka hotel rooms for executives to stay in. Nobodys going to move a business to Louisville if the only place with rooms available is the Economy Inn. Theres no way to revamp downtown if nobody is willing to make that early commitment.
Youll have to forgive me for not sharing your confidence, and its not like there arent any decent hotels here already. There are. The current building frenzy strikes me as being a bit over the top. Build one at a time, fine, but all of our hotel eggs are in the same basket. Louisville needs more than a lick of paint to start bringing business in. Your support baffles me.
What you fail to understand about me is that when it comes to Louisville, Im not a hater ... Im a lover. The things you love the most have the greatest ability to let you down, a sentiment Im sure your parents know only too well. I want this city to be its best, and on the rare occasion that it actually goes balls-out for something, Im inclined to support it wholeheartedly, despite the possible risks.
But what about our looming commercial crisis? If Humana and YUM! disappear, that leaves us with Brown Forman and UPS, and this isnt even UPS home town.
Humanas not going anywhere. The Federal Trade Commission and the Department of Justice have grown a pair over the last few years. The bookies and the markets, essentially the same thing, are increasingly betting on the deal not happening. It might piss off a few rich Humana shareholders, but itd be brilliant for Louisville.
Oh, Warren Buffett are we now? The real money is still very much on the deal happening, and when it does, its only a matter of time before the big jobs head to Connecticut, while the worker drones stay here. And not many of them will require a $300-a-night hotel room.
What Louisville has that Connecticut lacks is a decent supply of relatively low-cost commercial real estate. Whether it gets blocked or not, itll be full steam ahead for Humana and Louisville.
At least until Trump becomes dictator for life, right?
If that shitgibbon wins the election, Ill consider that a reasonable and long overdue reckoning for 1776.